Preseason Rankings
Notre Dame
Atlantic Coast
2019-20
Overall
Predictive Rating+11.0#41
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace63.7#313
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+6.1#34
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+4.9#49
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.2% 0.6% 0.1%
#1 Seed 1.0% 3.2% 0.6%
Top 2 Seed 2.9% 9.4% 1.7%
Top 4 Seed 9.4% 23.7% 6.8%
Top 6 Seed 19.2% 40.8% 15.3%
NCAA Tourney Bid 48.3% 74.1% 43.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 46.8% 72.4% 42.3%
Average Seed 7.3 6.2 7.6
.500 or above 83.5% 95.6% 81.3%
.500 or above in Conference 59.8% 83.4% 55.5%
Conference Champion 2.6% 8.8% 1.5%
Last Place in Conference 3.1% 0.5% 3.6%
First Four5.6% 3.9% 5.9%
First Round45.7% 72.1% 40.9%
Second Round28.1% 48.2% 24.5%
Sweet Sixteen12.3% 24.5% 10.1%
Elite Eight5.5% 11.9% 4.3%
Final Four2.4% 5.2% 1.9%
Championship Game1.2% 2.6% 0.9%
National Champion0.4% 0.8% 0.4%

Next Game: North Carolina (Away) - 15.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 11 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a2 - 62 - 6
Quad 1b2 - 24 - 9
Quad 24 - 38 - 11
Quad 35 - 113 - 12
Quad 47 - 020 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2019 5   @ North Carolina L 73-84 15%    
  Nov 09, 2019 273   Robert Morris W 76-56 97%    
  Nov 12, 2019 337   Howard W 87-61 99%    
  Nov 15, 2019 188   Marshall W 86-70 92%    
  Nov 18, 2019 319   Presbyterian W 82-58 98%    
  Nov 21, 2019 112   Toledo W 74-64 82%    
  Nov 26, 2019 252   Fairleigh Dickinson W 79-60 96%    
  Dec 04, 2019 9   @ Maryland L 64-73 22%    
  Dec 07, 2019 101   Boston College W 74-64 80%    
  Dec 10, 2019 219   Detroit Mercy W 83-66 93%    
  Dec 14, 2019 82   UCLA W 80-72 74%    
  Dec 21, 2019 47   Indiana W 68-67 53%    
  Dec 29, 2019 352   Alabama A&M W 80-49 99.7%   
  Jan 04, 2020 59   @ Syracuse L 66-67 47%    
  Jan 08, 2020 22   @ North Carolina St. L 73-78 35%    
  Jan 11, 2020 6   Louisville L 67-72 35%    
  Jan 15, 2020 75   @ Georgia Tech W 68-67 53%    
  Jan 22, 2020 59   Syracuse W 69-64 67%    
  Jan 25, 2020 18   @ Florida St. L 67-72 33%    
  Jan 29, 2020 91   Wake Forest W 74-65 77%    
  Feb 01, 2020 75   Georgia Tech W 71-64 72%    
  Feb 05, 2020 72   Pittsburgh W 72-65 71%    
  Feb 09, 2020 81   @ Clemson W 66-65 55%    
  Feb 11, 2020 10   @ Virginia L 55-64 24%    
  Feb 15, 2020 3   @ Duke L 69-81 17%    
  Feb 17, 2020 5   North Carolina L 76-81 35%    
  Feb 23, 2020 63   Miami (FL) W 72-67 67%    
  Feb 26, 2020 101   @ Boston College W 71-67 63%    
  Feb 29, 2020 91   @ Wake Forest W 71-68 59%    
  Mar 04, 2020 18   Florida St. W 70-69 52%    
  Mar 07, 2020 85   Virginia Tech W 69-61 74%    
Projected Record 19 - 12 10 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.7 0.9 0.7 0.1 0.0 2.6 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.7 1.7 0.6 0.1 0.0 5.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 1.4 2.7 2.3 0.7 0.1 0.0 7.4 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 1.7 3.5 2.7 0.7 0.1 8.9 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 2.1 4.2 3.1 0.8 0.0 0.0 10.6 5th
6th 0.2 2.1 4.3 3.2 0.8 0.0 10.7 6th
7th 0.1 1.6 4.2 3.4 0.9 0.0 10.2 7th
8th 0.0 1.1 3.8 3.9 1.0 0.0 9.8 8th
9th 0.1 0.8 3.1 3.4 1.1 0.1 8.5 9th
10th 0.0 0.4 2.3 3.4 1.0 0.1 7.1 10th
11th 0.0 0.3 1.7 2.4 1.4 0.1 0.0 5.9 11th
12th 0.0 0.2 1.2 2.3 1.3 0.2 0.0 5.2 12th
13th 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.4 1.1 0.2 0.0 3.5 13th
14th 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.0 0.8 0.2 0.0 2.6 14th
15th 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.8 15th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.2 2.3 3.7 5.8 7.0 9.4 10.1 11.6 11.1 10.3 9.1 7.0 5.0 3.1 1.6 0.8 0.1 0.0 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-1 94.3% 0.1    0.1 0.0
18-2 84.2% 0.7    0.4 0.2 0.0
17-3 54.1% 0.9    0.4 0.4 0.1 0.0
16-4 21.9% 0.7    0.2 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0
15-5 4.2% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
14-6 0.8% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 2.6% 2.6 1.2 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.0% 100.0% 42.3% 57.7% 1.5 0.0 0.0 100.0%
19-1 0.1% 100.0% 41.6% 58.4% 1.5 0.1 0.1 0.0 100.0%
18-2 0.8% 100.0% 22.0% 78.0% 1.9 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
17-3 1.6% 100.0% 23.0% 77.0% 2.5 0.3 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
16-4 3.1% 100.0% 13.1% 86.9% 3.4 0.2 0.6 1.0 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
15-5 5.0% 99.6% 8.7% 90.8% 4.7 0.1 0.2 0.9 1.1 1.3 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.5%
14-6 7.0% 97.6% 6.6% 91.1% 6.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.9 1.4 1.5 1.2 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 97.5%
13-7 9.1% 95.6% 4.3% 91.2% 7.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.0 1.5 1.7 1.6 1.1 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.4 95.4%
12-8 10.3% 82.9% 2.1% 80.9% 8.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.9 1.3 1.7 1.5 1.4 1.1 0.2 0.0 1.8 82.6%
11-9 11.1% 64.0% 1.1% 62.9% 9.6 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 1.0 1.2 1.5 1.8 0.7 0.0 0.0 4.0 63.6%
10-10 11.6% 39.9% 0.6% 39.3% 10.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.6 1.1 1.6 0.7 0.0 7.0 39.5%
9-11 10.1% 15.0% 0.5% 14.5% 10.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.6 0.3 0.0 8.6 14.6%
8-12 9.4% 3.4% 0.4% 3.0% 10.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 9.1 3.0%
7-13 7.0% 0.4% 0.0% 0.4% 10.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.0 0.4%
6-14 5.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 10.5 0.0 0.0 5.8 0.0%
5-15 3.7% 0.0% 0.0% 12.0 0.0 3.7
4-16 2.3% 2.3
3-17 1.2% 1.2
2-18 0.5% 0.5
1-19 0.2% 0.2
0-20 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 48.3% 2.8% 45.5% 7.3 1.0 1.9 3.1 3.4 4.6 5.2 5.4 5.7 5.0 5.1 5.8 2.1 0.1 0.0 51.7 46.8%